Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 46 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 44 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 24 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Chandler * | 49 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 48 | 11-25 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 30 | - |
| David West * | 47 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 45 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter