Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 15 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Jones | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 42 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter