Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (85-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 43 | 3-17 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 37 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 7-18 | 5-9 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 16 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter