Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (110-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 32 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 19 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jermareo Davidson * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Walter Herrmann * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derek Anderson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 28 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter