Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (111-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 13-14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Ager * | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Foster * | 41 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 41 | 10-24 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| David Harrison * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter