Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (98-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 41 | 7-20 | 0-4 | 5-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mike James * | 17 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luther Head * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 44 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 11-24 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 34 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter