Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 41 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 15-20 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 36 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 14 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Bell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 44 | 11-22 | 1-7 | 11-12 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 36 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Jones | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter