Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 13-20 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Darius Washington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 40 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 30 | 3-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mario West * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter