Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 36 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Conley | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 41 | 13-23 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Ager * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Terry | 27 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
* = starter