Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +1 (92-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 42 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 45 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 40 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Eddie House * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tony Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter