Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +13 (105-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 21 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 14 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darius Washington | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 8-12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Ager * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 18 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter