Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (95-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Wilkins * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Delonte West * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Johan Petro | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 37 | 5-18 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 8 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
* = starter