Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 29 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Felton * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 32 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 20 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jermareo Davidson * | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter