Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +25 (113-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 18 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ime Udoka * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 25 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Darius Washington * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 19 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 18 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
* = starter