Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (101-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 45 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 32 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 11-16 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 32 | 6-18 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 17 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 44 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter