Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darius Washington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter