Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 40 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 29 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darius Washington * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ming Yao * | 42 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 40 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Mike James * | 20 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Luther Head * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Luis Scola | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter