Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 38 | 12-31 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 15 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mike James * | 25 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Luther Head * | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSagana Diop * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 7-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter