Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 10-22 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 14 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 46 | 12-22 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 26 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Acie Law | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter