Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -11 (80-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 43 | 13-23 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 41 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter