Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -18 (74-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSagana Diop * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gooden * | 39 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 36 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dwayne Jones * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ira Newble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter