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2007-04-15

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% - โœ—
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 โœ— (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (91-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Green * 42 12-24 0-5 2-2 5 7 1 0 3 26 12 -
Bobby Jones * 34 6-13 0-1 1-3 3 2 1 0 1 13 5 -
Andre Miller * 31 4-11 0-1 4-4 3 9 1 0 2 12 12 -
Lou Williams * 31 2-12 1-2 1-2 6 4 1 0 1 6 4 -
Joe Smith * 28 6-14 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
Steven Hunter * 26 8-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 16 15 -
Lou Amundson * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 4 1 8 16 -
Samuel Dalembert * 21 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 3 1 8 14 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amir Johnson * 34 3-12 0-1 6-7 10 3 1 6 1 12 19 -
Chris Webber * 26 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 4 1 2 2 5 8 -
Flip Murray * 26 3-10 0-2 1-2 1 6 0 1 3 7 2 -
Carlos Delfino * 24 5-10 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
Jason Maxiell * 24 4-7 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 2 1 10 8 -
Tayshaun Prince * 23 5-10 1-5 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 15 7 -
Chauncey Billups * 21 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 6 6 -
Richard Hamilton * 18 3-5 1-1 1-1 2 2 1 0 2 8 6 -
Lindsey Hunter * 17 5-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 12 10 -
Rasheed Wallace * 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -
Antonio McDyess 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter