Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 38 | 9-21 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 2 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 10-21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Devean George * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Greg Buckner | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter