Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Miller * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 11-20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Justin Williams * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| John Salmons * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chucky Atkins * | 45 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 39 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lawrence Roberts | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter