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2007-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvin Williams * 40 2-10 0-0 3-5 6 1 0 1 1 7 4 -
Josh Smith * 39 7-15 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 3 5 15 9 -
Tyronn Lue * 33 3-11 1-4 0-0 3 5 2 0 0 7 6 -
Shelden Williams * 31 3-8 0-0 3-4 14 2 2 0 2 9 17 -
Zaza Pachulia * 31 7-14 0-0 4-6 4 4 3 1 5 18 11 -
Salim Stoudamire * 28 6-12 1-7 6-6 2 2 1 0 1 19 11 -
Solomon Jones * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Anthony Johnson * 13 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 1 -
Lorenzen Wright * 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Royal Ivey 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Carter * 36 8-16 3-7 5-6 4 8 0 1 2 24 19 -
Richard Jefferson * 31 1-6 0-1 7-10 1 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
Mikki Moore * 31 5-11 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 2 4 14 11 -
Bostjan Nachbar * 31 9-14 7-10 1-3 2 2 0 1 1 26 16 -
Jason Kidd * 27 4-5 1-2 0-0 6 10 2 0 1 9 21 -
Josh Boone * 24 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 0 3 13 10 -
Marcus Williams * 20 2-7 0-1 0-1 7 6 1 0 3 4 8 -
Jason Collins * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Clifford Robinson * 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Antoine Wright 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Hassan Adams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter