Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 45 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 15-18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 45 | 10-24 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 42 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| JR Smith * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 16 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 44 | 14-31 | 0-5 | 11-11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 15 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 43 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cook | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter