Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (105-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Skinner * | 41 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 37 | 7-21 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 35 | 14-19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| David Noel * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jared Reiner | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 29 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 15 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter