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2007-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 73.4% 26.6% -2.1 โœ— (6.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% - โœ—
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 โœ— (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (97-93). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 43 6-20 2-5 10-14 6 7 2 0 3 24 16 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 36 6-16 0-0 6-7 5 5 0 0 3 18 9 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 34 6-8 6-7 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 20 15 -
Eric Snow * 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 0 6 10 -
Anderson Varejao * 27 2-4 0-0 2-4 5 1 2 0 0 6 10 -
Larry Hughes * 26 3-10 0-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 8 1 -
Drew Gooden * 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
Daniel Gibson * 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
Donyell Marshall * 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Scot Pollard 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Marbury * 43 6-15 2-6 2-2 6 8 1 0 1 16 15 -
Eddy Curry * 37 7-13 0-0 11-14 4 1 2 0 4 25 15 -
Channing Frye * 36 7-13 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
Nate Robinson * 30 4-11 1-6 3-3 7 3 1 0 3 12 9 -
Jared Jeffries * 26 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 3 8 -
Mardy Collins * 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Malik Rose * 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
Renaldo Balkman * 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 6 11 -
Steve Francis * 9 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 7 7 -
Randolph Morris * 6 0-1 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Jerome James 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter