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2007-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (91-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chauncey Billups * 36 5-14 1-5 2-3 6 6 1 0 0 13 12 -
Richard Hamilton * 31 6-16 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 12 -2 -
Rasheed Wallace * 31 5-11 0-5 3-4 9 1 0 1 0 13 13 -
Tayshaun Prince * 29 4-10 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 2 0 8 5 -
Antonio McDyess * 29 6-12 0-0 4-4 7 2 1 1 1 16 14 -
Flip Murray * 25 5-11 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 10 8 -
Chris Webber * 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
Carlos Delfino * 21 2-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
Dale Davis * 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 1 7 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rafer Alston * 43 5-7 3-5 3-4 6 6 2 0 2 16 21 -
Shane Battier * 35 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 8 4 -
Tracy McGrady * 35 9-24 0-3 2-4 5 8 0 0 2 20 7 -
Ming Yao * 33 10-19 0-0 7-8 7 2 0 1 2 27 16 -
Juwan Howard * 28 2-6 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
Chuck Hayes * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
Luther Head * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Kirk Snyder * 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Dikembe Mutombo 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter