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2007-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (90-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Dunleavy * 31 5-9 0-0 1-3 5 2 2 0 2 11 9 -
Danny Granger * 29 3-8 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
Shawne Williams * 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 26 5-15 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 6 10 -1 -
Troy Murphy * 24 4-11 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
Ike Diogu * 20 3-7 0-0 8-9 9 0 0 1 0 14 17 -
Jeff Foster * 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 0 5 -
Keith McLeod * 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 15 2-10 0-1 2-3 2 4 1 0 1 6 2 -
Darrell Armstrong * 14 2-5 0-2 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
Rawle Marshall 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Maceo Baston 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 29 11-16 0-1 5-8 7 3 2 2 1 27 24 -
Tony Parker * 28 3-7 0-0 4-7 4 4 0 0 4 10 7 -
Manu Ginobili * 25 1-7 1-5 5-5 4 5 2 1 1 8 12 -
Francisco Elson * 25 6-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 3 2 14 13 -
Bruce Bowen * 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 2 5 -
Michael Finley * 22 3-9 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 -2 -
Matt Bonner * 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 10 10 -
Brent Barry * 19 3-3 2-2 1-1 3 4 0 0 0 9 13 -
Jacque Vaughn * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 2 -1 -
Robert Horry * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Fabricio Oberto 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Beno Udrih 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter