Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 44 | 9-24 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 39 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 37 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 12-28 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 39 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter