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2007-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.3 โœ— (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 41 5-15 0-1 3-5 8 1 3 1 2 13 9 -
Matt Carroll * 36 5-13 2-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 15 4 -
Raymond Felton * 33 8-14 3-7 0-0 2 5 3 0 3 19 12 -
Walter Herrmann * 24 2-5 1-3 3-4 4 3 1 1 0 8 12 -
Brevin Knight * 22 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 8 0 0 3 10 17 -
Adam Morrison * 21 1-7 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 -2 -
Alan Anderson * 20 5-7 1-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 3 14 6 -
Jake Voskuhl * 17 3-6 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 2 7 7 -
Jeff McInnis * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Primoz Brezec * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Hollins 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Jefferson * 33 9-15 0-0 4-4 11 3 1 0 3 22 19 -
Delonte West * 33 5-13 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 1 3 10 5 -
Rajon Rondo * 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 1 2 0 10 -
Gerald Green * 24 2-9 0-2 4-7 1 2 2 0 2 8 2 -
Kendrick Perkins * 24 3-5 0-0 7-8 11 2 0 2 0 13 23 -
Paul Pierce * 23 9-16 2-5 3-4 2 2 2 0 2 23 11 -
Brian Scalabrine * 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Allan Ray * 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 0 1 -
Ryan Gomes * 15 1-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 4 -4 -
Leon Powe * 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 2 4 8 -
Sebastian Telfair 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter