Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -16 (96-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 36 | 10-22 | 5-8 | 10-13 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 26 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 35 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 42 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Orien Greene | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| David Harrison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rawle Marshall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter