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2007-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 78.7% 21.3% -3.1 โœ— (15.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (104-92). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 32 4-11 1-1 9-9 6 3 4 0 4 18 16 -
Joe Smith * 28 0-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
Andre Miller * 27 5-13 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 10 2 -
Samuel Dalembert * 26 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 3 3 7 10 -
Kyle Korver * 24 5-8 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 13 5 -
Willie Green * 22 1-8 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -5 -
Lou Williams * 20 5-8 1-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 13 12 -
Steven Hunter * 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
Rodney Carney * 17 6-10 0-1 3-3 3 0 2 2 1 15 11 -
Kevin Ollie 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 6 1 -
Bobby Jones 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Lou Amundson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Childress * 41 6-13 0-3 3-4 4 3 1 0 1 15 9 -
Josh Smith * 37 11-20 1-2 3-4 17 5 4 3 3 26 32 -
Marvin Williams * 37 5-9 1-1 3-4 5 2 0 0 3 14 9 -
Anthony Johnson * 29 5-9 0-1 0-0 0 8 1 0 2 10 8 -
Zaza Pachulia * 26 6-8 0-0 3-3 10 2 0 1 2 15 18 -
Salim Stoudamire * 19 4-9 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 9 -1 -
Tyronn Lue * 19 3-10 1-1 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 10 2 -
Solomon Jones * 14 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Shelden Williams * 13 0-0 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 3 3 8 -
Royal Ivey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Esteban Batista 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter