Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +17 (117-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Buckner * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 27 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 23 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Devean George * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 30 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 28 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 20 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Josh Powell | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter