Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (99-88). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 43 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 40 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 22 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| David Harrison * | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Shawne Williams | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keith McLeod | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 10-22 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ira Newble | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter