Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (97-101). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 50 | 17-31 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 25 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 49 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 38 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 47 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 8 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 46 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 45 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 12-13 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 41 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Flip Murray | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dale Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter