Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -23 (74-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 18 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Melvin Ely | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kirk Snyder * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Luther Head * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Vassilis Spanoulis * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Lucas III | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Steve Novak | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter