Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shelden Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 39 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter