Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (95-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 17-27 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 18 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 19 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Wesley * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter