Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -26 (65-91). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Ager | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 39 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Mike James * | 17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Marko Jaric | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Troy Hudson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Reed | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bracey Wright | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter