Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +23 (110-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 10-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Ager | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter