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2006-04-19

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ—
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 โœ— (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - โœ—

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -14 (71-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Singleton * 41 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 1 2 2 6 -
Daniel Ewing * 29 4-5 0-0 3-4 3 6 1 0 3 11 13 -
Chris Kaman * 27 6-9 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 14 10 -
Corey Maggette * 26 6-13 0-3 6-8 11 1 0 0 3 18 14 -
Vin Baker * 25 3-5 0-0 4-5 4 1 1 2 1 10 12 -
Boniface Ndong * 22 2-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Cuttino Mobley * 21 5-13 0-1 0-0 3 2 3 1 1 10 5 -
Walter McCarty * 20 5-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
Shaun Livingston * 18 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 0 -
Quinton Ross * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Powell * 43 2-12 0-0 7-10 9 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
DeSagana Diop * 38 3-6 1-1 0-0 9 0 5 3 1 7 17 -
Rawle Marshall * 36 5-17 0-0 3-6 6 1 2 1 3 13 3 -
Adrian Griffin * 25 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 1 2 5 3 -
DJ Mbenga * 21 1-6 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
Pavel Podkolzin * 18 0-2 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 1 2 3 7 -
Erick Dampier * 15 0-2 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Jerry Stackhouse * 11 4-8 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 -
Jason Terry * 11 6-9 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 12 5 -
Josh Howard * 11 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Darrell Armstrong * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter