Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kapono * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gomes * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dwayne Jones * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 28 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Michael Olowokandi * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter