Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (103-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 21 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaza Pachulia * | 36 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 36 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 6-21 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 26 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 24 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Esteban Batista * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Grundy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donta Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter