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2006-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rafer Alston * 42 5-17 2-8 5-6 7 7 1 0 3 17 12 -
Keith Bogans * 39 5-15 2-7 3-6 7 4 1 0 1 15 11 -
Juwan Howard * 32 12-19 0-0 7-9 7 1 1 0 1 31 20 -
David Wesley * 28 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 -3 -
Chuck Hayes * 24 1-3 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 2 1 3 7 -
Luther Head * 24 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 8 6 -
Dikembe Mutombo * 23 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
Stromile Swift * 15 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
Ryan Bowen * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Rick Brunson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Camby * 33 4-14 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 1 8 4 -
DerMarr Johnson * 30 4-12 2-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 12 6 -
Carmelo Anthony * 28 9-15 0-0 4-5 6 3 2 1 1 22 18 -
Howard Eisley * 27 3-7 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 6 0 -
Ruben Patterson * 27 2-5 0-0 2-6 4 2 1 0 5 6 3 -
Kenyon Martin * 22 4-9 0-1 2-6 6 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
Reggie Evans * 20 0-1 0-0 2-5 12 1 0 0 0 2 14 -
Andre Miller * 20 2-5 0-0 3-4 1 7 3 0 3 7 10 -
Francisco Elson * 19 2-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Greg Buckner * 10 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter