Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +17 (96-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Marc Jackson * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Linton Johnson * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kirk Snyder * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| David West * | 15 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| JR Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Fizer | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kenny Thomas * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Corliss Williamson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter