Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (111-95). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Greg Ostertag | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| CJ Miles | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 14-14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rawle Marshall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter