Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -24 (93-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 40 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 34 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 27 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Luke Schenscher * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Sweetney * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 30 | 8-13 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 19 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earl Barron | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter