Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 11-22 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 5-17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rawle Marshall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Fisher * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 28 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 7 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter